The Cardinals are now the overwhelming favorites to pick No. 1 complete in in the 2019 NFL draft, according to the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI).

FPI endeavors the order of the draft of the next year by mimicking the rest of the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based chiefly on the model’s evaluations for individual teams in addition to game position.

Sometimes, the current draft order will not be matched by the draft order that is projected. That is because the FPI is thinking about the probability of outcomes that haven’t yet occurred and throwing strength of program at the end of the summer season, and it is a tiebreaker for draft order.

Below is FPI’s projected pre-order arrangement for the 2019 draft, based on each team’s average draft position from the simulations. Keep in mind that the arrangement relies upon the record, while the current record of each team is listed below.

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Average draft standing: 1.4
FPI chance to make premium select: 82 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 99 percentage


Average draft standing: 2.7
FPI chance to make premium select: 1 1 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 9-7 percentage


Average draft standing: 3.4
FPI chance to make premium select: 5 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 91 percentage


Average draft standing: 3.9
FPI chance to make premium select: 2 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 84 percentage



Average draft standing: 7.2
FPI chance to make premium select:<1 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 26 percentage


Average draft standing: 7.5
FPI chance to make premium select:<1 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 28 percentage


Average draft standing: 8.2
FPI chance to make premium select:<1 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 17 percentage


Average draft standing: 8.6
FPI chance to make premium select:<1 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 7 percentage


Average draft standing: 9.1
FPI chance to make premium select:<1 percentage
FPI chance to make Top Five choice: 3 percentage