The launching matches of Week 16 might have a large effect on this AFC postseason race. Let’s upgrade the Whole NFL playoff movie after the Tennessee Titans’ 25-16 victory over the Washington Redskins:

Here is how the remainder of the NFL play off picture shakes out at the moment, with live play off chances from ESPN’s Football Power Index.

Notice: X finds a team that has clinched a playoff berth, while shows a team that has clinched its division.


Inch. Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) — X

FPI playoff chances: 100 percent

The Chiefs missed a chance to gain the AFC West and be able to clinch AFC home-field advantage after losing to the Chargers. They remain atop the AFC West because of a much better division record (4-1) than the Chargers (3-2). As a result, the FPI remains giving the Chiefs a 71 percent chance to get the branch. They could clinch the AFC West and a first-round bye with a win in Week 16, but home-field advantage could come down to Week 17, with the Chiefs needing a victory on the Raiders to lock it up.

Next up: in Seattle Seahawks


FPI playoff chances: >99 percent

The Patriots’ loss in Week 1-5 elevated the Texans in to sole possession of the No. 2 spot, setting them in range of the very first playoff bye in company history. 1 minor barrier: They’ve yet to clinch a postseason berth, not to mention the AFC South. Which could come this weekend. The Texans could clinch the play with a win or a loss by the Ravens or even Steelers, the AFC South with a win and losses by the Titans and Colts, along with a jaw-dropping bye with a win and a Patriots loss.

Which could all happen in Week 16.

Next up: in Philadelphia Eagles

New England Patriots (95 )

FPI playoff chances: >99 percent

A loss in Pittsburgh officially dropped the Patriots into the No. 3 spot. If current positioning holds, the Patriots will miss out on a first-round play off bye for the very first time in fourteen days. It is not uncommon for a team to advance to the Super Bowl from the wild card around, but New England has never achieved it in three tries under coach Bill Belichick. Luckily for them, the Patriots close at home with matches against the Bills and Jets (9-19 combined record), and they can clinch the AFC East with a victory over the Bills. But they’ll need help from your own Texans to contact the No. 2 spot.

Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5-1)

FPI playoff chances: 84 percent

Even a three-game losing streak dropped the Steelers up to they could fall without materially affecting their playoff positioning. Had they lost in Week 1-5 into the Patriots, they would have fallen supporting the Ravens in the AFC North after which completely out of the playoff picture. Now, they could clinch the division with a win and a Ravens loss in Week 16.

Next up: in New Orleans Saints

5. Los Angeles Chargers (11-3) — X

FPI playoff chances: 100 percent

The Chargers clinched a playoff berth with a victory Thursday night in Kansas City, but they will have more work to do. In case the branch title boils to Week 17, they’ll require a triumph in Denver — a more difficult matchup than the Chiefs will likely face. The FPI gives them a 29 percent chance to pull it off.

Next up: vs. Baltimore Ravens

6. Tennessee Titans (9-6)

For a few hours, at the least , the Titans have jumped ahead of the Baltimore Ravens to the 2nd wild card spot. In the event the Ravens win a challenging game Saturday night at the Los Angeles Chargers, they’ll move back up into the No. 6 spot. Otherwise, the Ravens would be in danger of postseason removal and the Titans could be abandoned fighting the Indianapolis Colts and the Miami Dolphins to this particular area.

Next up: Home vs. Indianapolis Colts

From the search: Baltimore Ravens (8-6), Indianapolis Colts (8-6), Miami Dolphins (7-7)


Inch. New Orleans Saints (12-2) — Z

FPI playoff chances: 100 percent

After Monday night’s victory over the Panthers, the Saints are the full game ahead of the Rams from the race for NFC home-field advantage in the play offs. One more success, in Week 16 or even 17, will clinch it because they have the head to head tie-breaker with the Rams.

Los Angeles Rams (11-3) — Z

FPI playoff chances: 100 percent

The Rams may have kissed their chance in NFC home-field advantage goodbye. And after losing at home to the 6-7 Eagles, they’re now able to reduce out on a first-round bye altogether. They’re just 1 game ahead of the Bears, who defeated them in Week 14 and therefore hold the head to head tiebreaker. On the flip side, they could nevertheless enact a first-round bye with a win in Week 16 and a Bears loss. Stay educated.

Next up: in Arizona Cardinals

3. Chicago Bears (10-4) — Z

FPI playoff chances: 100 percent

For the first time as 2010, the Bears have been NFC North champions. They procured the inescapable Sunday by beating the Packers at Soldier Field. The only question left now is whether or not they can slip past the Rams for a first-round bye. The Bears hold the head to head tie-breaker in case it has to do with that.

Next up: in San Francisco 49ers

4. Dallas Cowboys (8-6)

FPI playoff chances: 95 percent

The loss in Indianapolis delayed what is still a possible NFC East title for the Cowboys. Their lead from the branch is down to a single game over the Redskins and Eagles, but Dallas possesses the tiebreaker against both. Therefore the only way the Cowboys will eliminate the branch is if they lose their remaining matches and either the Redskins or even Eagles finish 2-0. The FPI gives that scenario a 2.3 percent chance.

Next up: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers


FPI playoff chances: 99 percent

Had they won in San Francisco, the Seahawks might have clinched a playoff berth. But one success within their final two matches should still do it. It wont find any easier in Week 16 against the Chiefs, but if everything else fails, they’ll host the most woeful Cardinals in Week 17.

Next up: vs. Kansas City Chiefs

6. Minnesota Vikings (7-6-1)

FPI playoff chances: 65 percent

Had the Vikings not defeated the Dolphins on Sunday, they would have fallen from their 2nd wild card spot. They’ve no margin for error with a half-game lead, and their only method to guarantee that a playoff berth is always to win their final two matches — both against NFC North competitions. But they have a chance to clinch a wild card berth with a win in Week 16, a loss by the Eagles and a decrease by the Redskins.

Next up: in Detroit Lions

From the search: Philadelphia Eagles (7 7 ), Washington Redskins (78 ), Carolina Panthers (6 8 )


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