The Dodgers haven’t”won the winter,” as much as the headlines proceed, because they haven’t been aggressive on , a fact that’s doubly unsatisfactory because it certainly seemed like the trade with the Reds that delivered Yasiel Puig, Matt Kemp along with Alex Wood to Cincinnati was especially put them up to accomplish exactly that. Importing absolutely free agents A.J. Pollock along with Joe Kelly were bets on health along with gift , respectively, but the 2019 roster looks a lot like the 2018 roster.

It’s also not really a bad thing, although that may not be exciting. They are likely to be good, which is in large part thanks to the fact that they’re estimated to get the ideal run-prevention unit in baseball, estimated to allow just 3.87 runs each game. 

The Dodgers haven’t”won the winter,” as much as the headlines proceed, because they haven’t been aggressive on , a fact that’s doubly unsatisfactory because it certainly seemed like the trade with the Reds that delivered Yasiel Puig, Matt Kemp along with Alex Wood to Cincinnati was especially put them up to accomplish exactly that. Importing absolutely free agents A.J. Pollock along with Joe Kelly were bets on health along with gift , respectively, but the 2019 roster looks a lot like the 2018 roster.

It’s also not really a bad thing, although that may not be exciting. They are likely to be good, which is in large part thanks to the fact that they’re estimated to get the ideal run-prevention unit in baseball, estimated to allow just 3.87 runs each game. 

Projections are exactly what they truly have been — educated, informed guesses, and really — but there is generally a pretty fantastic relationship between projections and effects , and it surely is sensible that the Dodgers, Mets, ns and Astros might have the ideal run avoidance projections, also that and would be pulling the back. 

(The numbers noted previously are via the Steamer projection platform in FanGraphs; appearing at Prospectus’ PECOTA platform , which employs a completely different method, the Dodgers have been at a digital three way tie for most useful with all the Astros and .)

This isn’t out of character to Los Angeles, of course. The Dodgers have allowed the fewest runs each game while in the NL at all the previous two decades. They have finished in the top five each of the past four decades. It’s hard in keeping runs off the board if you aren’t doing a fantastic job to win this most division names. 

Dodgers’ pitching runs per game rankings in MLB
2018: 3.74, first in NL, next at MLB
20 17 : 3.58, first in NL, next at MLB
2016: 3.94, fifth in NL, fifth in MLB
2015: 3.67, next in NL, next at MLB

(Back in 2014, they were 11th at the Majors; they certainly were in ’13, fourth ’12, also haven’t been below-average since the 91-loss’05 team)

Maybe it impressive they’re projected to be the very ideal team in 2019 than it really is that they’ve been doing it for years in arow. You can get more of the same, also there a full reasons .

Inch. Because Walker Buehler might be ’s second great ace 
It could be blasphemy to express it, but imagine if the excellent Clayton Kershaw is no further the Dodgers’ best starting pitcher? Maybe it’s too early to say , also it says a lot about how wonderful Kershaw was we’re fretting about his fall following a year at which he set up a dazzling 2.73 ERA — though that was his highest mark since 2010. 

While concerns about Kershaw’s falling rate are actual , he is still estimated to be an above-average pitcher, also Buehler has been projected to be his equal at 2019. It’s not tough to see why, considering how dominant he looked over times within his own 2018 season, considering he only set a 2.62 ERA at 137 1/3 innings. When we looked back in 2018’s most prominent pitches, Buehler ranked in the top five to both his four-seam fastball and his sinker. 

Video: Buehler intending to pitch 200 innings at 2019

Put the other way, only look where Buehler rankings on the leaderboard of a few of the very effective metrics, including Expected wOBA, a Statcast&commerce; number that accounts for the sum of contact and quality of contact. There were 183 starters who faced 200 batters at 2018, also the Best 5 is higher than a little impressive.

Not bad when a 23-year-old rookie will come up, strike out 151 at 137.1 IP, and also do most of this. pic.twitter.com/czaOFczd8y

2. Because they brought back two key lefty arms
It does seem as if there is an impossible-to-define feeling in free agency it’s just not as exciting every time a team attracts their very own free agents because it really is if they add fresh ones. For the Dodgers, we saw this two offseasons past, if they kept free agents Justin Turner, Kenley Jansen, and Rich Hill, all whom have contributed to the back NL pennants. 

Last past year, it had been re-signing Kershaw to get three years, as well as welcoming back Hyun-Jin Ryu later he admitted the oneyear qualifying offer. Apart from Wood, every pitcher who made the 2018 Dodgers two starts will reunite in’1-9.

That is maybe perhaps not quite as exciting as, say, trading for Corey Kluber, however it’s generally a fantastic thing. Even the oft-injured Ryu threw only 82 1/3 innings, however they certainly were spectacular ones, with a 1.97 ERA. Kershaw may perhaps well not be the straightforward”best pitcher ” he once was, but he is still expected to be considered a above-average starter.

3. As the projections purchase Kelly
We’ll admit that Kelly does not possess anything similar to the name worthiness of his former team mate at , , and sometimes even that of Andrew Miller, Jeurys Familia along with David Robertson, every one of whom signed with new teams this off season. 

Remember, that really is exactly what we wrote at Time

Of course, you begin with the above”amazing stuff,” plus it’s really not tough to see what’s attracting the Dodgers here. Over 600 pitchers threw at least 100 fastballs, also Kelly’s 98.1 miles average speed was fourth most useful . Call it a 99th-percentile skill. Over 230 pitchers threw at least 100 curve balls, and Kelly had been one of just six to moderate over 3,000 liters of spin speed. Call a 99th percentile skill.

This can be the kind of thing that teams like the Astros look for, that raw skill that has not quite turned to reliable outcomes. The Dodgers are gambling they can get the best out of both Kelly, and the Steamer projections agree, trusting that a 3.21 ERA in 65 innings. 

4. So does Ross Stripling, a 2018 allstar who may well not create the top five right now. So does Julio Urias, who reunite from a severe shoulder injury to play a role in the 2018 conduct to the World Series. 

There are currently 118 pitchers estimated to be worth at least 1 WAR, and no NL team — and only the overall — can top the seven titles the Dodgers have among the. That class does not include the aid quintet of both Pedro Baez, Dylan Floro, Caleb Ferguson, Scott Alexander along with Josh Fields, and even those guys combined to get a 2.93 ERA at 276 1/3 innings.

It’s true not adding Harper or buying Kluber or making a reality any some of these earth-shattering rumors we heard this weekend has made a sour taste in the mouth area of Dodgers fans, plus it’s also true that the Dodgers necessitated a one-game tie breaker to high Colorado for its division last year.

“probably the main things we have to complete as soon as the off season starts would be to critically assess the team from the season before,” president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said last week. “Not how many games did we win, it’s what was our talent degree? At what we expected? Below, previously? We felt we were much better than a 92-win team”

Friedman is certainly speaking about the plus-194 run differential — at the Majors — that had the Dodgers playing like a club than a one. It will not guarantee 102 wins in 2019, and it will not guarantee this is the season that they conquer the World Series hump. Another bat, just like a Harper, could have achieved more to satisfy Dodgers fans. But to the mound, it is possible to get more of the same, which is to state: Expect yet another pitching team.