Week 1 of the NFL season is finally upon us. The top betting trends point towards Carolina to cover as home underdogs against the Los Angeles Rams, Kyler Murray having a successful debut for Arizona and New England to continue its home dominance.
Here are betting nuggets for every Week 1 game:
All lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
– Cleveland is 0-13-1 outright and 4-9-1 against the spread in its past 14 Week 1 games. However, it did cover its past two season openers, including a tie last year against Pittsburgh.
– Cleveland has covered the past four meetings against Tennessee.
– Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its past nine games as a favorite, including five outright losses in its past eight games as a favorite.
– Tennessee is 0-6-1 ATS in its past seven games against AFC North opponents and 1-9-1 ATS in its past 11 such games.
– Miami is 5-1 straight-up and 6-0 ATS in season openers in the past six seasons (longest active cover streak in season openers).
– Baltimore has covered each of the past eight meetings (7-1 SU in span).
– Baltimore is 8-11 SU in its past 19 games as a road favorite (7-12 ATS).
– Eight of Ryan Fitzpatrick‘s past nine starts have gone over the total.
– Fitzpatrick is 10-2 ATS in Weeks 1 and 2 since 2011.
– Road teams favored by a FG or more in September are 48-74-1 ATS in the past 10 years, including 9-22 ATS in the past three years.
– Mike Zimmer is 52-29-2 ATS as a head coach, the best mark by any coach in the Super Bowl era (minimum 50 games). Minnesota is 29-12-1 ATS at home under Zimmer.
– Atlanta was 5-11 ATS last season, tied for the worst mark in the NFL (San Francisco).
– Atlanta is 5-13 ATS on the road in the past two seasons and 1-5 ATS in Week 1 on the road in the past 10 seasons.
– Minnesota has won and covered each of the past three meetings.
– The underdog has won five of the past six meetings and nine of the past 11 outright.
– New York is 5-2 ATS in its past seven season openers, including winning by 31 points last year at Detroit as a 7-point underdog.
– Seven of Josh Allen‘s 11 starts last season went under the total.
– Each of the past three meetings between these teams finished at least 13 points over the total.
– Washington has lost five of its past six Week 1 games (1-5 ATS).
– Washington is 3-10 ATS and SU in its past 13 divisional games.
– Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its past six season openers and it has won seven of its past eight season openers outright.
– The over is just 2-11-1 in Philadelphia’s past 14 season openers.
– Philadelphia has won and covered each of the past four meetings (Washington had won and covered each of the previous five meetings).
– Teams that made the playoffs but had a losing ATS record the season before are 4-13 ATS in Week 1 in the past 10 seasons.
– Week 1 favorites of at least six points are 21-29-1 ATS in the past 10 seasons, with playoff teams going 10-19-1 ATS in that span.
Los Angeles Rams (-2, 50) at Carolina Panthers, 1 ET
– Regarding Los Angeles, Super Bowl losers from the previous season are 3-16 ATS in Week 1 the following season.
– Cam Newton is 14-5 ATS as an underdog since 2015, and he is 4-0 ATS as a home underdog since 2017 (3-1 outright).
– Carolina is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight meetings.
– Kansas City has covered seven straight September games.
– Patrick Mahomes is 6-2-1 ATS in his career on the road, though he is 0-2-1 ATS in his past three such games.
– Seven of Kansas City’s eight road games last season went over the total.
– Jacksonville was 2-8-2 ATS in its final 12 games last season.
– Nick Foles has covered seven straight games as an underdog, including six outright wins.
– Teams that missed the playoffs and had a losing ATS record are 30-15-1 ATS in Week 1 against playoff teams in the past 10 years.
– Indianapolis is 1-10 ATS in Week 1 over the past 11 seasons (2-9 SU).
– Los Angeles was 2-6 ATS at home last season (6-10 ATS since moving from San Diego to Los Angeles).
– Jacoby Brissett‘s past eight starts went under the total (all in 2017).
– Seattle went 10-5-2 ATS last season including playoffs (third-best in the NFL).
– Seattle has won 10 straight home openers; 7-2 ATS in nine home openers under Pete Carroll.
– Nine of the Seahawks’ past 11 nonconference games went over the total.
– Cincinnati covered its final four games last season.
– Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS the last two seasons when getting at least seven points.
– New York is 1-7 outright and 1-6-1 ATS in Week 1 the past eight years (only win and cover came at Dallas in 2015).
– New York was 7-1 ATS on the road last season (led NFL).
– Eli Manning is 18-7-1 ATS in his past 26 games getting at least seven points, including the playoffs, including 6-1-1 ATS since 2015.
– Since 2015, Dallas is 7-2-1 ATS as a favorite of at least six points (won 13 straight games outright as a favorite of at least six points).
– Quarterbacks making their first career starts are 9-1-1 ATS since 2013 (8-0-1 ATS as underdog).
– Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its past nine September games as a home underdog.
– Detroit’s past eight season openers went over the total.
– Twelve of Arizona’s 16 games last season finished with 46 or fewer points.
– Jimmy Garoppolo was 0-3 ATS as starter last season (had been 6-0-1 ATS in first seven career starts).
– Jameis Winston is 8-3-1 ATS in his past 14 starts.
– Tampa Bay is 2-8-1 ATS this decade as a home favorite in September.
– San Francisco did not cover in Week 1 in either of the past two seasons after going 11-2-1 ATS in Week 1 in the previous 14 seasons.
– San Francisco went 5-11 ATS last season (tied for worst with Atlanta).
– San Francisco is 0-7 ATS and SU in its past seven games where the total was in the 50s.
– Bill Belichick is 240-176-10 ATS as head coach (third-best by coach in Super Bowl era, min. 60 games).
– Tom Brady is 180-120-7 ATS in his career, including 94-57-5 ATS at home.
– New England is 39-16-2 ATS at home since 2013 (best record in NFL), including covering 13 of its past 16 home games.
– New England is 13-3 ATS in its past 16 games with a total in the 50s, and 19 of the past 25 New England games with a total in the 50s went under.
– Brady is 7-3-1 ATS against Ben Roethlisberger, including 3-0-1 ATS at home.
– Pittsburgh was 5-0 ATS as an underdog last season, including a cover vs. New England (4-1 SU).
– Deshaun Watson is 7-2 ATS as an underdog in his career (4-5 SU).
– Watson has only lost by eight or more points twice in 23 NFL starts.
– Houston is 4-10 ATS all-time on Monday Night Football.
– New Orleans didn’t cover its past five games last season (including playoffs).
– New Orleans is 0-5 outright and ATS in its past five season openers (lost as 10-point favorites vs. Tampa Bay in Week 1 last season).
– Last year, New Orleans played 15 games with a total in the 50s, and 10 of those games went under the total.
– Denver is 1-5-1 ATS on MNF since 2014.
– Denver is 5-13 ATS in its past 18 road games.
– Denver is 2-8 ATS in its past 10 divisional games.
– Joe Flacco is 6-9 outright (5-10 ATS) in his past 15 starts as a road favorite.
– Seven of the last eight meetings went under the total.