For those who are looking for a tool to concentrate various web opinions into one location in order to help make roster moves, IBM offers Watson’s Insights as an unsupervised, quantitative supplement to the more in-depth, personalized analysis that you would normally expect from an ESPN analyst.
IBM Insights uses Watson AI to analyze thousands of fantasy articles, blogs, websites and podcasts and provide support data to assist with fantasy football decisions. Watson outputs an estimated scoring range for each player, as well as projecting the chances that a player will exceed the upside estimate (e.g. “boom”) or fall short of the low end estimate (e.g. “bust”) on any given week.
The following article points out a few notable insights from Watson for Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season, as of early Friday afternoon.
Wide receiver decisions
While wide receivers can provide some of the best fantasy value in a given week, it can be difficult to decide beforehand which receivers to start. Because most of the 32 teams in the NFL regularly run three wide receiver sets, there are a plethora of options available each week with the potential to score even during bye weeks.
IBM Insights provides information that can help make these decisions easier. Let’s take a closer look at a few of the wide receivers that IBM Insights projects with the best value for this week.
Projections higher than rank
Watson tabbed Washington with the highest weekly high score among wide receivers this week, which has to be largely attributed to lead wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster battling a toe injury that has yet to let him practice this week. The Steelers are also facing a Ravens defense that ranks 23rd in the NFL, allowing the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.
Watson’s Insight: Insight tabs Washington as a high-risk, high-reward prospect with the potential to produce WR1 numbers this week.
Valdes-Scantling has already been productive in his own right, but he also has additional upside based upon lead wideout Davante Adams‘ injury that has kept him out of practice this week. Valdes-Scantling has a prime-time matchup with Aaron Rodgers at the helm, and has the potential to put a big number on the board even against a strong Cowboys defense.
Watson’s Insight: Valdes-Scantling is a high-floor, high-ceiling prospect in a matchup where he may be Rodgers’ lead receiver.
Most likely to go boom/least likely to bust
Brown has seen his production dip in the past two weeks after his scorching start to the season, but Insights tabs him as a potential bounce-back candidate with big upside this week. The Steelers’ defense shut down the Bengals on Monday night, but that was primarily through pressuring quarterback Andy Dalton. Lamar Jackson‘s scrambling ability should afford him more time to make throws downfield against this defense, which opens up the possibility for Brown to boom.
Watson’s Insight: Brown always has the ability to go the distance, and Insights tabs him as a good chance to boom in his matchup with the Steelers.
The story here is that both Ginn and teammate Tre’Quan Smith (ranked 283rd, 84th among WRs) both projected with high potential scores and better odds given to boom than to bust. It appears that the Watson has identified this week’s matchup with the Buccaneers as a good opportunity for the Saints’ wideouts to go big, including both the second and third receivers on the team.
Watson’s Insight: Neither Ginn nor Smith ranks highly overall and should be found on the free-agent wire in most leagues, but Watson pegs both of them as potential fantasy starters this week in what could be a high-scoring matchup against the Buccaneers.